Industrial Retrofit Portfolio Intelligence
Portfolio CAPEX Sequencing, Risk Mix, Site Aggregation
This view organizes decarbonization as a portfolio: project sequencing, blended IRR, subsidy eligibility, downtime constraints, and risk-weighted allocation across sites and technologies.
Prototype environment. Illustrative data.
What it visualizes
- •portfolio scenarios and total CAPEX vs annual reduction
- •financing structure (debt/equity), green bond eligibility, subsidy coverage
- •risk composition (technology/regulatory/execution/grid/H₂ supply)
- •phase-based sequencing (2026–2035) and site aggregation impacts
- •grid and water demand impacts and stranded asset exposure
Used for
- •optimizing portfolio CAPEX sequencing for maximum impact
- •risk-weighted allocation across sites and technologies
- •financing strategy and subsidy optimization
Related System Views
Industrial Retrofit Portfolio Intelligence
Institutional Capital Transformation Portfolio
Portfolio Scenario
Total Projects
6
Total CAPEX
€2182M
Annual Reduction
4.97M
tCO₂e/yr
Lifetime (20yr)
99.4M
tCO₂e total
Blended IRR
14.7%
CAPEX per tCO₂
€439
Portfolio Carbon Price Sensitivity
Annual carbon cost avoided
At €90/t€447M/yr
At €120/t€596M/yr
At €150/t€745M/yr
Portfolio Breakeven€54/t
Funding Structure & Eligibility
Debt / Equity60/40
Green Bond Eligible€1.94B
EU Innovation Fund€1.78B
Subsidy Coverage34%
Portfolio Risk Analysis
Weighted risk component breakdown
Composite Risk Score
6.8/10
Technology Risk
Weight: 30%6.4
Regulatory Risk
Weight: 25%7.2
Execution Risk
Weight: 20%5.8
Grid Dependency Risk
Weight: 15%8.1
Hydrogen Supply Risk
Weight: 10%7.6
CAPEX Risk Distribution
High Risk61%
Medium Risk32%
Low Risk7%
Portfolio Sequencing – CAPEX by Phase
Phase 1 (2026–2028)
CAPEX€162M
Annual Reduction650k tCO₂e
Projects3
Phase 2 (2028–2031)
CAPEX€920M
Annual Reduction2.8M tCO₂e
Projects2
Phase 3 (2031–2035)
CAPEX€1.1B
Annual Reduction1.52M tCO₂e
Projects1
Site-Level Portfolio Aggregation
Multi-project sites with operational downtime analysis
| Site | Projects | Total CAPEX | Total Reduction | Operational Downtime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steel Plant – Duisburg | 2 | €765M | 2.36M tCO₂e/yr | 16 months |
| Chemical – Rotterdam | 2 | €275M | 964k tCO₂e/yr | 8 months |
| Cement – Marseille | 1 | €1.1B | 1.52M tCO₂e/yr | 22 months |
| Logistics – Hamburg | 1 | €42M | 124k tCO₂e/yr | 3 months |
Filter by:
| ID | Site / Technology | Annual Redn. | CAPEX | Carbon Cost Avoided | EBITDA Impact | Payback | Grid | Water | Phase | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEC-2024-001 | Steel Plant – Duisburg Electric Arc Furnace | 2.02M | €680M | €181.8M/yr | +€124M/yr | 7.4 yr | +420 MW | +420k m³/yr | Phase 2 | Medium |
| DEC-2024-002 | Cement – Marseille CCUS Integration | 1.52M | €1,100M | €136.8M/yr | +€82M/yr | 12.2 yr | +320 MW | +3.2M m³/yr | Phase 3 | High |
| DEC-2024-003 | Chemical – Rotterdam Hydrogen Boiler | 778k | €240M | €70M/yr | +€52M/yr | 9.8 yr | +180 MW | +2.4M m³/yr | Phase 2 | High |
| DEC-2024-004 | Steel Plant – Duisburg Waste Heat Recovery | 340k | €85M | €30.6M/yr | +€24M/yr | 4.6 yr | -42 MW | +84k m³/yr | Phase 1 | Low |
| DEC-2024-005 | Logistics – Hamburg Fleet Electrification | 124k | €42M | €11.2M/yr | +€8M/yr | 5.2 yr | +28 MW | — | Phase 1 | Low |
| DEC-2024-006 | Chemical – Rotterdam Energy Efficiency | 186k | €35M | €16.7M/yr | +€14M/yr | 3.8 yr | -18 MW | -120k m³/yr | Phase 1 | Low |
Portfolio Grid Impact
+888 MW
Requires 4 new substations
Water Demand Impact
+6.0M m³/yr
Industrial water risk: Medium
Stranded Asset Exposure
€1.17B
Legacy asset write-down risk